That is the most frequently asked question I get.
And I am the most qualified to answer it from my own real world experience as well as from my students.
Let me show you the money aspect first then we can talk about the skills needed to achieve this goal. Let’s make our first goal $100,000.
I’m going to show you our “professional play” plan that can easily get you to $100,000 profits in as little as 75 shoes. Later, I’ll show you how to get from there to your first one million dollars.
Sound far fetched? Well this entire plan is based on a skill level of only 5 chip units a shoe. Look, I have averaged 15 units a shoe for the last 40 years. I’m pretty confident I can get you to a skill level of 5 units a shoe pretty darn quick IF I have your undivided attention.
The goal of our most basic progression is 10 units a shoe ( i.e.; $5, $25, $100 chips divides into our lowest average chip count bet ) which we often make in the first 20 plays.
Every student here will confirm that 5 units a shoe is an extremely doable first goal. I’ll teach you how to Exploit later but right now I’m basing everything on 5 units a shoe.
For our purposes here a “unit” is our base bet – our lowest bet.
You can make your highest bet 3 or 4 if that is your comfort level – even 2.
I prefer you make your highest bet 6.
That lets you bet what we call an U1D2 prog which achieves a far higher shoe win rate than say a basic 1,2,3.
Your buy-in is 6 units in the denomination you are playing at each level of play ( i.e.; $5, $25, $100 chips divides into our lowest average chip count bet ).
If you can start with green ($25 chips ) there are only 6 levels of play to surpass $100,000.
About a third of our students start with green chips play (Now you call them $25 units not chips).
And another third start with red ($5 chips ) which leads to our ultimate goal of a third starting with black chips ($100 unit bets).
To safely start at green you need a bankroll of $1,500.00 (divided by two $25 chip units which is $50 = 30 chip units increments).
If you do not yet have that, fine, simply start with $5 red chip times two which is $10 units (multiply that by 30 chip units = $300.00).
Note that after starting with 30 units for your first level of play, each level of play achieves 30 units in the next denomination. That always gives you 5 chances to achieve the next level. You only need one IF you do everything you were taught correctly but the plan allows for do-overs just in case.
For instance, suppose you start at $25 chip units and average 5 units a shoe for 12 shoes which would total $250.00 per shoe x 12 shoes.
You now have 30 $50 chip units.
Important: So you go to $50 units and flub your first shoe at -4 chip units stop loss.
No worries. You are back in the $25 level with 22 units with a goal of 30 plus units.
To do this you must find a better table!
I will teach you how to do that from the tote boards.
With a fresh start at a better table, 8 x $25 chip units is achievable in one shoe.
So W/O further ado let’s take a look at our professional play plan:
Everything is based on averaging 5 total chip units a shoe:
$25 units: 12 shoes = $1,500 or 30 $50 units
$50 units: 12 shoes = $3,000 or 30 $100 units
$100 units: 12 shoes = $6,000 or 30 $200 units
$200 units: 15 shoes = $15,000 or 30 $500 units
$500 units: 12 shoes = $30,000 or 30 $1000 units
$1000 units:12 shoes = $60,000
Total winnings thus far: $115,500.00
A million dollars is now in sight right?
FACT: the cards do not know the color of your chips.
All this is based on a skill level of 5 units a shoe! Which is a beginner skill level.
“But come on Ellis, I’ve never heard of anyone playing to only a minus 6 chip unit stop loss.”
Correct! First, forget the other players and what they do or don’t do. They haven’t a clue. They are the reason casinos deal Baccarat.
Look, the table odds against players is only 1.25%. Mathematical FACT. Yet on average, they lose at a rate more than ten times that!
They manage to lose 57% of the hands against 50/50 game odds. They would be a whole lot better off just flipping a coin. At least then they would win half the hands in the long run. Or better yet – They should take time out to learn how to play this game.
Here is the actual rule:
NEVER make a bet that could take you below -6 chip units. NEVER!
Leave that table and find a better table.
For instance: Suppose you find yourself at -3 chip units and the system you are playing is calling for a 4 chip unit bet. You QUIT at -3 chip units and get the hell out of there. When you lose, you usually lose right off the bat.
It was SUPPOSED to be the best table in the casino. It obviously wasn’t. Go find it.
Why? Time management.
What is the best use of my time right now?
Sure, maybe you can turn a -6 chip units loss into a +1 chip unit win. But more likely you’ll turn it into a -24 chip unit loss.
Meanwhile a better table might produce a +20 chip unit Win! Go Find it!
Look, when you abide by the -6 stop loss rule, your average losing shoe will be about -4 chip units.
As I’ve already demonstrated, we can deal with those, but -24 chip units losses, not so much.
Look at it this way: If every player’s average losing shoe was -4 chip units, there would be no Baccarat. Casinos could not afford to deal it.
“But Ellis, how can players lose at a rate more than 10 times the table odds. That is Mathematically impossible!”
Correct! At least it would be correct if the cards were random or even if the players simply flipped a coin.
In a nut shell, casinos have 4 basic strategies that kill the average player.
BUT, those same strategies ensure that WE will win. We have 4 basic systems that match their 4 basic strategies and we have two simple counts that tell us which system is the most effective for the shoe at hand. We deploy their own strategies against them. That is why we are so very often the only winners at the table. So very, very often.
First I teach you how to crawl: 5 units a shoe.
But then I teach you how to Exploit. That’s where the biggest money is and the lowest risk is, believe it or not.
Here you are rewarded for the effort you put in. Your Effort is rewarded in cool CASH!
This is all made possible based on the more effort you put in (we like to call it sweat equity) the more money you get out…
You can create this untapped wealth here and only here!
Make your dreams come true if that is your desire!
Three members have already made it to the $$$ million dollar mark!
Now you see how.
One $ to $$ two million! So can you!
Anybody on our “Private Members” site can get to 5 chip units a shoe.
Every Private member here will vouch for that.
And then you learn to Exploit!
Ellis Clifton Davis