I’ve been quiet for a while going through the most enlightening 3 weeks of my Baccarat teaching career.
It all started with a one week trip to Tunica, MS to play the Gold Strike Horseshoe complex starting September 19, 2016.
Over the last 25 years I had beat this complex hundreds of times playing my NOR Baccarat approach averaging 20 units a shoe and very often winning 20 or more shoes in a row. Some of you have watched me do that. Certainly I was the most notorious player there.
So, understandably, I started this trip breaking my most cardinal of all Baccarat rules:
“Never decide what you are going to play before you get to the casino and see what you are up against!”
WRONG, NOR couldn’t win a shoe!
So early Tuesday morning I did what I should have done in the first place – I asked the pit boss.
“Yes sir, we recently changed to all factory preshuffled cards.”
If you don’t know yet, you soon will:
So called “factory preshuffled cards” are actually not shuffled at all. They originally come to the table in a sealed and numbered bundle of 8 decks arranged in known casino favorable card orders. You are playing fixed cards! Sure, maybe they went into a shuffle machine. Ha, but casinos are not going to upset the card orders they paid for.
THESE cards were not only fixed – they were very obviously fixed specifically to beat NOR Baccarat!
Now don’t get me wrong. Factory cards don’t always beat NOR. Caesars, Vegas is 100% factory cards and I have recently soundly beat them with NOR.
Now, yes, we do have two systems created specifically to beat “factory” cards – MDB+ and RSAP. They are good systems and have created two Baccarat millionaires so far. But I, along with most avid players, do not like to play them because they do not bet every hand. Most of the time you are just sitting there waiting for specific opportunities. Boring!
So I spent the whole week, night and day, designing a whole new Baccarat approach. “MvD” has no similarity with anything I, or anyone else, has ever designed before. It is a specific way of letting shoe history dictate every play.
Now, of course I am not going to teach it to you here. We will create a new MvD private forum for that purpose.
But I WILL tell you about it here and why it is a total game changer.
First it is pure simple. MvD has only 3 rules. ANYONE can learn it in an hour. It requires no math skills.
The ONE purely mechanical system beats all card types whether they are Regular cards, Factory cards or On line cards. It simply doesn’t care. And THAT is a Baccarat FIRST.
So, right off the bat somebody will say: “But Ellis, you’ve always said that no purely mechanical system can win long term.”
Correct, I have said that many times. But it is all just semantics. Is an approach that is dictated by history really mechanical??? I’ll let the grammar experts figure that out. I’ll just say that you always already know your next play before it comes up and from that perspective it is purely mechanical.
MvD is extremely conservative. I used a stop loss of -4. This does NOT mean that your average losing shoe is -4. It means that you never make a bet that could take you below -4. So, for instance, if you find yourself at -2 with a 3 bet due, you quit at -2. So your avg losing shoe is closer to about -2.5.
Meanwhile I averaged +11 over all 28 shoes I played in the casino. That average might have been slightly skewed by a +41 game – down from +47 with a highest bet of 4. And I also had a +30 game with a highest bet of 3.
BTW, I’ll post all 28 casino games on the new MvD forum along with many others plus a couple of exploded play by play shoes that show you exactly how to arrive at every bet correctly. I also note that MvD is a great candidate for teaching on film. So I’ll try to get a training film completed as soon as I can.
I mostly played a simple 1234 negative progression seldom getting to the 4. But if I hit +12 in the first 20 plays, and I was also winning most of my 1 bets, I graduated up to a 234 prog. I didn’t attempt any 345 progs but I think the 345 is the ultimate progression to move up to with MvD. Had I done that, I would have had some +50 shoes in there. The beauty of the 345 is you never have to go any higher because you can lose the 345 several times in a shoe and still win quite handsomely. The 456 is also very viable if you want to legally play $25 units on a $100 table.
So. OK, losing shoes avg -2.5. Winning shoes about +10. Shoe win rate – something above 75% . But even if you only won 50%, you would already be the winningest player in the casino. And my testers like BacMan will have exact figures shortly developed from live casino play.
Here are some other things MvD does:
It is the only system ever designed that gets on all run types.
Sure TB4L gets on all STraight and ZZ runs. But it loses every bet to a TT run (BB PP BB PP).
I have designed systems that get on all 3 run types but then lose to the 212s. (BB P BB P).
MvD is the only system ever that gets on all 4 run types and it also gets on a run of 3s as well as the 232s and the 323s. There’s not much left after that.
MvD automatically plays NOR perfectly! You get a good S40 shoe or an OTB4L or a TB4L or Repeats or SS shoe, MvD automatically plays those systems perfectly W/O you even having to think about it. And it automatically plays RSAP and MDB+. No more System Selection or Table Selection. You can play ONE system on the same table all day long. MvD automatically adjusts to all card types and all shoe types.
Instead of having to learn many systems and multiple Modes plus when to play which system. you need only learn ONE simple 3 rule system with NO Modes and you can learn it in an hour even if you never played before.
Now THAT is a MvD Game Changer, Don’t you think?
Pricing? CFC says new guys $1500. Existing members – deeply discounted. But I’ll let CFC handle that. I just design and teach. And yes, we will want buyers to sign a confidentiality agreement.